AFL Round 9 Betting Tips

Afl Round 9

Thursday, May 15th

Adelaide vs Collingwood, at Adelaide Oval 7:50pm

Tip: Collingwood to cover the line -13.5 Points @ $1.92. 

Friday, May 16th

Essendon vs Sydney, at Etihad Stadium 7:50pm

Tip: Sydney to cover the line -17.5 Points @ $1.92. 

Saturday, May 17th

Richmond vs Melbourne, at the MCG 1:40pm

Tip: Over 166.5 @ $1.88. 

North Melbourne vs Brisbane, at Etihad Stadium 4:40pm

Tip: Under 185.5 @ $1.88

 Fremantle vs Geelong, at Patersons Stadium 7:40pm

Tip: Geelong 1-39 @ $2.40

Sunday, May 18th

St Kilda vs Gold Coast, at Etihad Stadium 4:40pm

Tip: Gold Coast to cover the line -26.5 @ $1.92.

Haven't had a chance to write a description for each game yet, but ill try and get the weekend games up.

Happy betting.

@cadepinner

AFL Round 8 Betting Tips

Afl Round 8

Friday, May 9th

Sydney vs Hawthorn, at ANZ Stadium 7:50pm

Sydney is coming off 3 wins in a row coming into this game but are underdogs at home against the powerhouse Hawthorn. Franklin and Tippet are in and many are questioning how they’re going to work up forward. Their midfielders and small forwards need to step it up and help deliver clean ball to their talls if they’re any chance of beating the hawks. Hawthorn are consistently kicking ridiculously high scores and aren’t looking at stopping. Look for quick movement from their backline when they mop up after Sydney’s talls.

Tip: Hawthorn to cover the line -14.5 Points @ $1.92. With the Hawks being in devastating form this year it’s really hard to tip against them, and this is a line they should cover.

Saturday, May 10th

Port Adelaide vs Fremantle, at Adelaide Oval 1:40pm

Port had another impressive win last week against GWS, they had patches of brilliance but in the end held off the gallant Giants. They’re looking very well rounded at the moment with Schulz leading the charge with 24 goals and leading the Coleman at this early stage of the year. Fremantle had a tough derby win last week and its obviously showing with the withdrawal of a couple of key backs in McPharlin and Dawson. Pav and Sandi have to step it up again to upset Port at home.

Tip: Port to cover the line -11.5 Points @ $1.92. This is a very attractive line especially with the form Port have been in. It’s been backed in from -9.5 points to -11.5 points in the last 2 days.

Brisbane vs Essendon, at the Gabba 4:40pm

Brisbane come off another disappointing performance and desperately need to start showing something again at home. They have some handy inclusions with Brown, Maguire and Hanley so hopefully they can give the Bombers a run for their money. Having just scraped through with a win last week, Essendon are still looking out of sorts and need to turn that around quickly. Fletcher has been their best player this year so far, surely if a 39 year can contribute the way he does the younger guys can back him up as well.

Tip: Under 171.5 @ $1.88. This is a fairly high line for these two underperforming teams. Hopefully a tight scrappy game ensues and we come home with the win.

Melbourne vs Western Bulldogs, at the MCG, 7:40pm

Melbourne are coming off a spirited win against the Crows last week and are only looking forward to producing the same effort this week. Viney being free to play this week will only boost the morale of the Melbourne players to overpower the Dogs. The Doggies had to pick themselves up this week after a disappointing loss last week. Being in games right down to the wire is encouraging but they need to start going the extra mile and finish games off.

Tip: Melbourne to win @ $2.95. Melbourne are at rough odds but that’s good for a bit of value and hopefully get us some handy money. 

Sunday, May 11th

 West Coast vs GWS Giants, at Patersons Stadium 4:40pm

West Coast should’ve won again last week but their kicking in front of goal cost them another 4 points. Looking into this game they’d hope to put a bit more scoreboard pressure on the Giants. The Giants on the otherhand have been kicking plenty of goals but the problem is that their opposition is doing the same thing. With Cameron out, this might stem their goal flow and options up forward a little bit.

Tip: Under 185.5 @ $1.88. I liked this or the Giants line, this should be a tight, tough match that could go either way.

Monday, May 12th

St Kilda vs Carlton, at Etihad Stadium, 7:20pm

Where did St Kilda go last week? Getting flogged by Hawthorn at the G will do plenty of damage to their confidence. With their skipper being well held the last few games he needs to show his team how to stand up under pressure and perform. With Carlton in the same boat as the Saints, they also need to show their supporters some on field performances worth seeing. Hopefully the inclusion of Yarran can generate some run in this team that looks extremely slow.

Tip: Under 179.5 @ $1.88. With both teams battling after embarrassing performances last round, there should be more of a emphasis on the defensive side of things. This is a big total points score and looks like the safest bet of the day.

1/2 to start the weekend, lets hope to get a few more positive results over the weekend. Happy punting.

@cadepinner on twitter

AFL Round 7 Betting Tips

Afl Round 7

Friday, May 2^nd

Carlton vs Collingwood, at the MCG 7:50pm

Carlton notched up their second win of the season last weekend coming from 4 goals down against the Eagles. Marc Murphy is getting back to some of his best form and his team is following suit. Carlton are ranked fourth for clearances and need to continue this trend to get quick entry into their forward line. Collingwood had a remarkable come from behind victory last week, and looking to cement themselves into the top 4 at the early stage of the year. Coming from 5 goals down at quarter time to win by 23 points at the final siren. Going into this round they can’t take their foot off the throttle, with their midfielders in blistering form while kicking goals this is the area they need to exploit Carlton’s rebound run.

Tip: Collingwood 40+ @ $2.65. Nathan Buckley will go into this game looking to crush Mick and his team. With their undersized backline look for Cloke and White to bag a couple of goals each.

Saturday, May 3rd

Hawthorn vs St Kilda, at the MCG 1:45pm

Hawthorn were back to their dominating best last week annihilating a disappointing Richmond. Mitchell is playing career best footy across half back and his team mates are loving it. With the recruitment of McEvoy paying off and the other young players chipping in, this outfit is looking at another strong year. St Kilda were underwhelming last weekend, playing catch up from the word go although only going down by 3 points. With the Captain well contained last week, look to him to fire out of the blocks and run the Hawthorn defence off their feet this weekend.

Tip: Hawthorn -11.5 Quarter time line @ $1.90. A 2 goal line should be easy enough for Hawthorn to cover. If they come out with as much intent as they did last week look for easy money here.

Greater Western Sydney vs Port Adelaide, at Startack Oval 2:10pm

The Giants played very well last week but were quite simply just outclassed by a hard running Gold Coast side. This will be a tough ask for the Giants with the Power in red hot form to start the year. The young midfield will need to try and get on top from the start and get some scoreboard pressure. The Power just keep getting better and better, and it shows with them sitting nicely on top of the ladder. With Schulz a joint leader in the Coleman Medal, look for him to exploit the Giants defence.

Tip: Over 169.5 @ $1.88. Really hard game to pick for value, the line is big and personally I don't think they can cover it. Look for a high scoring, free flowing shoot out.

Adelaide vs Melbourne, at Adelaide Oval, 4:40pm

Adelaide are coming off a hard fought win against the Doggies last weekend. With Tex in the mix to return to AFL after a knee reconstruction, the Crows are starting to look like more of a top 8 chance. With Pods having his best game to date, albeit against an undersized defence last week look for him to do the same thing this week against the Demons. Melbourne are coming of another spirited game and their will efforts will pay off again soon. Getting Dawes back a few weeks back has definitely been the turning point, and with Jamar back in the ruck they are beginning to play the way Roos wants them to.

Tip: Melbourne to cover the line +42.5 @ $1.92. This is a very attractive line, if Melbourne come out and play the way they have been they should easily cover this line.

 Brisbane vs Sydney, at the Gabba 7:40pm

Brisbane were extremely lucky last weekend to hold onto a hard fought win to get their first 4 points of the year. With Brown still being influential and his younger counterparts like Aish popping their heads up and contributing, look for the Lions to start being a lot more competitive on the scoreboard. Sydney didn’t look their best last weekend but they did enough to secure a nice little victory. With Franklin unlikely to play, that will be forgotten with Goodes putting his hand up to play his first full game for the year.

Tip: Under 172.5 @ $1.88. With both teams not scoring too well this year, this seems like the safest bet for this match. Sydney is the only team of the two to score over 100 points and that was only once, so look for a low scoring affair at the Gabba.

Essendon vs Western Bulldogs, at Etihad Stadium, 7:40pm

Essendon were underwhelming again last week against a very impressive Collingwood. The Bombers are in big trouble and need to find their way out of his hole. Chappy has been the in-form player so far and needs some backup form the other premium midfielders/forwards. The Doggies on the other hand are still playing out of their skin, they messed up in the last quarter against the Crows and will learn from that experience. They have a nice even spread of contributors with Macrae being my pick of the bunch at this stage of the year.

Tip: Western Bulldogs to cover the line +22.5 @ $1.92. The doggies are a real danger in this game, if Essendon don’t come to play they may struggle to win.

Sunday, May 4th

North Melbourne vs Gold Coast, at Etihad Stadium 1:10pm

North has responded with a impressive win over in Perth last weekend. Petrie came to life and finally put a few scores on the board to help his team across the line. Boomer had his running shoes on last week and it showed when he was towelling Crowley up. Gold Coast are coming to Melbourne after an impressive victory against the Giants. With Lynch kicking his first 5 goal haul he’ll be full of confidence to give the North defence a run for their money.

Tip: Gold Coast 1-39 points @ $4.60. Coming back from Perth and winning is the hardest task in AFL and has been for a few years now. The Suns will be full of confidence and ready to give North everything they’ve got.

Geelong vs Richmond, at the MCG 3:20pm

Geelong are coming off a terrible performance in Adelaide last week, their kicking was terrible and it showed on the scoreboard. They will be fired up and ready to show the Tigers what they’re made of. Selwood was well checked last week so he will be keen to get back to best form again. Richmond got embarrassed by Hawthorn last weekend and were just simply outclassed. With Martin and Cotchin being very underwhelming they will be looking to reverse their form to try and stand up against Geelong’s strong midfield.

Tip: Geelong 40+ @ $2.30. Geelong will be looking to use their frustration from last week on an underperforming Richmond. Chris Scott will want his men to dominate from start to finish and I think they will go close to doing just that.

West Coast vs Fremantle, at Paterons Stadium 4:40pm

West Coast were extremely unlucky not to walk away with a victory last weekend, but there’s no-one to blame but themselves. They’ve had an interesting start to the year but a win this week would send their season in the right direction. Once again Freo are coming off another disappointing loss, they hate losing at home and it should still sting after last week. With Pavlich and Fyfe the only Dockers players consistently giving their all this year, they need back up this week to take out the 39^th Western Derby.

Tip: Under 162.5 @ $1.88. This is a very low score but I think it can happen, both teams after Round 4 haven’t been scoring to their potential. Derby’s are always brutal and this one definitely should be tough and tight with hopefully a low score to top it off.

Thanks for checking out my tips for this week, follow me on twitter and leave some feedback. @cadepinner

Thanks

                                                                                      

AFL Round 6 Betting Tips

Afl Round 6

Friday, April 24

Collingwood vs Essendon, at the MCG 2:40pm

The last few games between these two have gone down in similar fashion, whoever makes a fast start goes on to win the match.  Over the last 2 rounds Collingwood have been starting off extremely well kicking 9 goals to their oppositions 3 in the first quarter. Cloke strutted his stuff last week kicking 4 goals to hopefully regain some past form. With Swan, Sidebottom, Fasolo, Pendlebury and Lumumba all getting 30+ possessions last week, their core group of players are looking strong and ready to bring their A game to the Anzac Day match. Essendon are in disarray, this usually happens at the tail end of the year not when they’re still full of spirit. Two weeks in a row they have faulted and it doesn’t look like improving here. Carlisle had a standout year last year and needs to get some consistency back to help his team improve from here.  

Tip: Collingwood -11.5 (Pick your own line) @ $1.98. Collingwood look way too strong here and should easily cover this line. Their scoring potential and strong defence put them way ahead of Essendon at this point.

Anzac Day Medal: Steele Sidebottom @ $19. Steele is having a magnificent start to the 2014 season, if he’s allowed at much space as he had last week look for this roughie getting up to take the medal.

St Kilda vs Brisbane, at Westpac Stadium 5:45

St Kilda shocked the AFL world last week beating Essendon. Apart from their hick-up against Adelaide a couple of weeks ago, the Saints are defensively holding their heads up high while their superstar Captain Nick Riewoldt is causing all kind of havoc all over the field. It was good to see Brisbane put up a lot more fight last week. They were in with a chance going into the last quarter but unfortunately got outclassed by a determined Richmond side. Brownie turned back the clock last week and will hope to out muscle the young Saints backline this week.

Tip: Brisbane Half Time Line +7.5 @ $1.90. This is a hard one to bet on, normally with these teams you look for the under score but it’s ridiculously low so hoping Brisbane can have a strong first half to bring this one home.

Fremantle vs North Melbourne , at Patersons Stadium 8:45pm

Fremantle looked uninterested last week and Ross Lyon was not impressed. With one of the most influential captains going around, not even him could pull the dockers to victory. It will be interesting to see how they respond, surely the home crowd won’t let them get away with a lacklustre performance again. North were absolutely outgunned last week by a fast running, high scoring Collingwood. Their forwards didn’t fire at all and their cult hero boomer Harvey got my votes as worst on ground.

Tip: Fremantle to win 1-39 points @ $2.10. Fremantle will be fired up and looking for a win at home against the Kangas. With Scott Thompson out look for the Super Pav to put on a clinic.

Ok I'm back, Friday got a bit out of hand and my tips would've been all over the place yesterday. Looking to get at least 2 out of 3 today to make a nice little profit for the day.  

Sunday, April 27

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide, at Etihad Stadium 1:10pm

The doggies are coming off a disappointing loss last week against the blues. Wasting their opportunities in front of goal in the last quarter they will hope to redeem themselves here. Adelaide on the other hand have been have come off two good wins in a row, but they will be wary of a spirited doggies outfit. With Taylor Walker coming back through the reserves yesterday Adelaide will start to look like a top 8 side again.

Tip: Under 194.5 Points @ $1.88. This is a massive total, coming of a disappointing loss look for the doggies to have more defensive pressure and keep both teams to a relative low total.

Richmond vs Hawthorn, at the MCG 3:20pm

Richmond are coming off a percentage booster last week, even though it wasn’t a great game to watch. They typically play well against the Hawks. It will be a battle of the midfields here, whoever gets the most clearances and quick entries will give their tall forwards the best chance to get a 1 on 1 contest. The Hawks are coming off another loss to Geelong, it was a hard bruising battle that might have them underdone coming into this game. On the positive they have their key defender in Brian Lake coming back into the team to bolster their undersized defence. Roughie needs to step up and show everyone what he’s capable of.

Tip: Richmond to cover the line (+33.5 Points) @ $1.92. Most people would back the Hawks to destroy Richmond today, but I think Hardwick will have his boys fired up and ready to take on the flag favourites. I don’t think they can win, but I do think they will put up a spirited fight and hopefully cover the line.

Port Adelaide vs Geelong, at Adelaide Oval 4:40pm

Port are cruising along very nicely this year again currently sitting second on the ladder. This will be their first major test of the year, and will hope to show their home crowd some magic. With Schultz dominating up forward this year he’ll be hoping to continue his good form against a fantastic Geelong backline. The Cats are purring again in 2014 having beaten their rivals last week in a fantastic match. They might be a bit sore but with Tom Hawkins back to his best and Harry Taylor as good as ever at the other end they should take care of the Power.

Tip: Geelong to cover the line -11.5 Points (pick your own line) @ $2.15. Geelong can’t afford to back off their pressure from last week and if they don’t a 2 goal win should be within their grasp.

Thanks for checking out my tips for the week, sorry for the lack of tips yesterday I'll bring back my best next week.

Happy Punting.

AFL Betting Guide Results

Round 5:

Brisbane vs Richmond- Under 181.5 @ $1.88 WIN     169 Points

Very scrappy match with it being labeled the worst game of the season so far by many. Should have made the under a lot more comfortably than that but hey it still got up. 

Collingwood vs North Melbourne- North to win @ $2 LOSE     Coll by 35

Terrible performance by North who never looked like winning. Just as their season was looking a lot brighter they come crashing down back to earth.

Sydney vs Fremantle- Freo to cover the line @ $1.92 LOSE   Swans by 17

Fremantle looked extremely flat, the heat that they played in the week before seemed to have taken it's toll with the Swans all over them for much of the game.

Essendon vs St Kilda- Over 188.5 @ $1.88 LOSE     146 Points

This was a game the bombers would've definitely penciled in as a win. Playing against freo in the heat the week before along with the coach and a few key players coming down with the flu it didn't come together as Essendon would've liked. A very surprisingly low scoring game.

West Coast vs Port Adelaide- Port to cover 17.5 line @ $3.10 LOSE           Port by 14

West Coast were galant in defeat, just holding off Port so the power didn't cover our super line. Looking for a bit of extra value nearly paid off.

Adelaide vs GWS- Adelaide 1-39 Points @ $2.40 LOSE. Crows by 65

The Giants had a crack but the crows stood up and showed their supporters why they are a team on the improve after a disappointing 2013. 

Melbourne vs Gold Coast- Under 173.5 Points  @ $1.88 WIN.  164 Points

These 2 teams aren't known for their high scoring ability and it was the same result here. A scrappy contest which resulted in making the under. 

Western Bulldogs vs Carlton- Carlton to win @ $2.40 WIN    Blues by 28

Although Juddy only lasted 5 minutes the blues still kicked away with a much needed win. I like the doggies this year but just thought the blues would be more desperate for the 4 points. 

Geelong vs Hawthorn- Either team to win by less that 15.5 Points @ $2.50 Lose. Geelong by 19

Changed my tip going into this game and obviously regretting it now. It could have just as easily gone our way but unfortunately it didn't. It was a great game to watch which helped ease the disappointment of a tough betting weekend. 

This weekends tips will be up on Thursday night.

Round 6:
Collingwood vs Essendon- Collingwood -11.5 Points @ $1.98 WIN Pies by 23
After a blistering start by the bombers, Collingwood clawed their way back to notch an impressive victory.

St Kilda vs Brisbane- Brisbane Half Time Line +7.5 @ $1.90 WIN Lions by 25 at HT
Brisbane started off in great fashion taking a great halftime lead.They looked at getting overrun in the last quarter but it was good to see the Lions notch their first 4 points of the year.

Fremantle vs North Melbourne- Freo to win 1-39 points @ $2.10 LOSE North by 13
Once again Freo were very underwhelming being overrun by a fantastic hard hitting North. 

Skipped Saturdays Tips

Western Bulldogs vs Adelaide- Total score under 194.5 Points @ $1.88. WIN 175 Points 

A really hard fought game by both sides and that helped to get the under here. It was a ridiculous line, so good to see it go the way I thought.

Richmond vs Hawthorn- Richmond line +33.5 @ $1.92. LOSE Hawthorn by 66

Richmond were disgraceful against the Hawthorn juggernaut. Nowhere near where I thought they'd be.

Port Adelaide vs Geelong- Geelong line -11.5 @ $2.15. LOSE Port by 40

Poor kicking in front of goal really cost Geelong. Definitely didn't see it coming but Port were amazing.

Round 7:

Carlton vs Collingwood- Collingwood 40+ @ $2.65 LOSE Pies by 34
Another disappointing last quarter by Collingwood cost us the money here.

Hawthorn vs St Kilda- Hawthorn -11.5 qtr time line @ $1.90 WIN Hawks by 23 at qtr time
Dominating performance by Hawthorn and it continued for the whole game

GWS vs Port Adelaide- Total score over 169.5 @ $1.88. WIN 229 Points
Free flowing game, with both teams taking the most of their chances in front of goal.

Adelaide vs Melbourne- Melb line +42.5 @ $1.92. WIN Melb by 3 
Melbourne played a spirited game for Bernie Vince against his old team. Was close to just tipping the win but happy all the same.

Brisbane vs Sydney- Under 171.5 @ $1.88. WIN 167 Points
This was extremely close, it came right down to the wire with both teams having chances to tip the score over the points. Nice result again.

Essendon vs Western Bulldogs- Bulldogs to cover the line +22.5 @ $1.92. WIN Essendon by 8
Hard fought battle just as I thought with the doggies extremely unlucky not to get the 4 points.

North Melb vs Gold Coast- Gold Coast to win 1-39 Points @ $4.60. LOSE GC by 43
Gold Coast started off the game extremely well, had a bit of a lull but then came home with a vengeance. Knew they were a chance to win, didn't think they'd humiliate North that much.

Geelong vs Richmond- Geelong 40+ @ $2.30. LOSE Cats by 5
Geelong started the game off on fire, but lack of pressure in the second half plus easy missed chances at goal cost this tip in a major way.

West Coast vs Fremantle- Under 162.5 @ $1.88. WIN 127 Points
A hard fought scrap as expected, easily accounted for the total points that was put on offer by sportsbet and most other betting agencies.

AFL Round 5 Betting Tips

Afl Round 5

Thursday, April 17

Brisbane Lions vs Richmond, at the Gabba 7:50pm

This is an interesting one, I don’t trust Richmond as far as I can throw them but surely….surely they can show something that got them to the finals last year. Brisbane started off the year in very competitive fashion, but with key injuries, a leader getting suspended and their exodus of young players from last year seemingly catching up with them it definitely isn’t looking good.

Tip: Total Score under 181.5 at $1.88. With both teams being very underwhelming on the scoreboard I thought this was the most logical bet for this game

Saturday, April 19

Collingwood vs North Melb, at the MCG 1:40pm

This is an extremely difficult one to bet on as well, both teams have definitely had their ups and downs already this season but both are tracking well atm. Collingwood’s run is back, their young defenders are standing up and their midfielders/small forwards are firing without Travis Cloke helping the scoreboard tick in his usual fashion. North on the other hand aren’t scoring as much as last year, but they are definitely keeping their opponents under check and keeping the score in their favour.

Tip: North Melbourne for the win $2. This is one of my favourite bets of the week, plenty of value if they stay at even money.

Sydney Swans vs Fremantle, at the SCG 4:40pm

You haven’t said it often over the past few seasons, but it was fair to say that Sydney got absolutely embarrassed last week at home by North. They got out pressured, out-ran and obviously out scored in what was a horrendous day for the Swans . On the other hand Fremantle regained some of the Ross Lyon swagger back, clamping down on Essendon and showing all the doubters out there that what happened against Hawthorn was just a slight glitch on premiership redemption.

 Bet of the Week 1: Fremantle -5.5 at $1.92. Fremantle are ready to get back down to business again this week and looks like an easy payday with the line at a mere -5.5 points.

West Coast Eagles vs Port Adelaide, at Patersons Stadium 5:40pm

The Eagles started off so well last weekend against the cats but obviously couldn't hold onto that pressure, not kicking a goal after quarter time. With key injuries obviously making it extremely hard for them and the injury to excitement machine Nic Nat it wasn’t a pretty night for the away team. The Power on the other hand came back from a gallant defeat by the hands of North in Round 3, to easily dispose of the Lions last weekend. Seem to have their run back they are definitely on their way to another finals campaign.

Bet of the week 2: Port Adelaide -17.5 (pick your own line) at $3.10. Port should run away with this game with ease, some of the key eagles will be back but not enough to stop the Power.

Value Bet: Port Adelaide Over 40 at $7. If you’re looking for value this could prove to be a winner if Port are allowed to use their run.

Essendon vs S Kilda, at Etihad Stadium 7:40pm

Essendon were very disappointing last week. Yes it was hot, yes it was over in Perth, but all excuses aside they failed to score efficiently and looked very fragile especially with their lack of premium ruckmen. St Kilda had started the year off in very interesting fashion, most tipped them to be bottom of the barrel cellar dwellers but they shined through and got a couple of wins and another encouraging performance. But last week wasn’t good enough, they looked outgunned from the word go even against an Adelaide side that had a discouraging start to the year.

Tip: Over 188.5 @ $1.88. One of the more difficult games of the round to tip value wise, both teams had been scoring consistently until last weekend. They’ll both look to improve and get the over in perfect Etihad conditions.

Sunday, April 20

Adelaide vs Greater Western Sydney, at Adelaide Oval 1:10

Welcome to 2014 the mighty Adelaide Crows! About time they stood up and delivered a performance their fans could be proud of. They outran and outmuscled a young Saints side and never looked like giving up their pressure from the word go. GWS were defiant in defeat against a fast improving Western Bulldogs side, they looked on top for the best part of 2 and half quarters but in the end got outdone by a enthusiastic doggies side out to prove a point this year.

Tip: Adelaide 1-39 at $2.40. Another interesting betting game in a weekend full of hard games. I believe Adelaide will win, but wont destroy a GWS side that has been holding their heads up high in the early stages of this year.

Melbourne vs Gold Coast Suns, at the MCG 3:20pm

Melbourne finally put a smile on Paul Roos’ face with the demolition of a struggling Carlton last week. They looked bold, strong and with a couple of marking targets up forward they could finally put a respectable score on the board and run away with the win. The Suns have had a very up and down start to the season, with a win against Richmond in a first round highlight to being humiliated against Hawthorn last weekend.

Tip: Under 173.5 at $1.88. This seems to be the safest bet with both teams not consistently scoring well enough to get the over.

Western Bulldogs vs Carlton, at Etihad Stadium 4:40pm

This is a game of the over achievers vs underachievers. Everyone had the Doggies at the bottom of the tables alongside Melbourne and St Kilda, but with their youthfulness shining through with touch of magic from their older hands they have defied most critics and notched a couple of wins to start their year. The story of the year so far is the way Carlton have been going about their footy. At the start of the season they would’ve locked in at least 1 win in the first 4 rounds of the year, but it hasn't happened and the heat is weighing down on the shoulders of all the players out there.

Tip: Carlton to win $2.40. The aggression didn’t come last week from the Blues but look for a definitive difference here especially if Juddy comes back to whip them into shape. If it doesn’t happen now, it never will.

Monday, April 21

Geelong vs Hawthorn

One of my favourite home and away games of the year is upon us this week, with the Mighty Cats playing the Lethal Hawks. Geelong has had a impressive start to the season considering their injuries to key outside runners and key forwards. No matter their form coming into a game against the Hawks they always get fired up to show the AFL world what they’re worth. Hawthorn have been in the same boat as Geelong to start the year, key injuries seem to have them struggling at times but they've always ended up pulling through with the 4 points. A couple of big ins will only strengthen this great side and test them to the very end.

Tip: Either team by under 15.5 points at $2.50. This is definitely the hardest game of the round to pick an outright winner. I think Hawthorn will just scrape through with a win but it will be a close well contested game. I changed my tip from Geelong to cover the line to either team by under 15.5 points, hopefully this pays off and we finish off the long weekend on a high. 

Thanks for having a look through this weeks betting tips, it’s my first post and hopefully we get some good results. Happy punting.

Cade

Introduction

Hey everybody, this is my first stint at providing betting tips to the public. I've had some small successes and hoping to pass on some of my footy knowledge to get others on the winning boat. Pick your favourites and hopefully watch the money come rolling in.

Cade

Follow me on @cadepinner on twitter